Dynasty ADP - 3.6
Why he’s low:
When you’re looking for buy lows in Dynasty, you first have to understand why the fantasy community is lower on a player than you are. In Fournette’s case, he suffered multiple hamstring injuries in his sophomore season that left him playing in only 8 games, crushing his owners fantasy prospects in the process. In addition to that, Fournette hasn’t gotten any good press recently. It’s been rumored the Jaguars are not happy with Fournette and are not committed to him long term.
Why i’m buying:
Fournette turned in a rookie season of 268 carries, 36 receptions, 1,342 yards, and 10 touchdowns, that doesn’t happen by chance. Being drafted with the fourth overall pick, Fournette is an elite talent with draft capital to back it up, playing in a system that is built to run the ball (1st in team run plays in 2017). This isn’t a projection, it already happened, go check out his rookie year game log. The only real concern with Fournette is can he stay healthy. I expect Fournette to fall somewhere between his healthy rookie year and his injury plagued sophomore season. If he plays for 12 games next year he’ll maintain his value, possibly even go up in ADP. If he plays in 16 games your looking at a first round dynasty start up pick in 2020. Think about that, if he just stays healthy for a full season, you’re getting a first round startup pick in the third round. Time to buy.